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| Berlusconi-Fini, duelists |
These days, in these hours, is witnessing a kind of requiem for the Future and Freedom. The baby Fini's party, soon after the first conference, the group has already lost the Senate and the House also keeps track of defections. But, mind you, there is a huge difference between the politician and the politician Fini / entrepreneur / massmediaman Berlusconi. And this difference lies in the experience of decades of the pupil than the neophyte Almirante Knight Arcore. Some may say that the court of Berlusconi are fine politician with but it is true that the national Silvio has moments that do not listen to any advice and goes his own way that he believes the consensus and the power to do as they wish. Here is where the bottleneck of Berlusconi and Fini which may have prepared his trap. Reasons for degrees. Point one: the majority in the House. Today the Knight has had 320 Members (including members of the government), although la contabilità è soggetta a continue variazioni. E' certamente una maggioranza ma non basta.
Alle commissioni in molti casi il governo è in minoranza e per avere la maggioranza nelle commissioni stesse serve raggiungere la non facile cifra di 330 deputati. Quindi le opposizioni, con l'importante presenza del Presidente della Camera, potrebbero insabbiare molti provvedimenti nelle varie commissioni parlamentari.Secondo aspetto: il prossimo importante appuntamento legislativo, estremamente vitale per il cavaliere di Arcore, è il processo breve. Qui si intrecciano una serie di situazioni non proprio favorevoli al Premier: la posizione di Napolitano, notoriamente contrario alla riforma della Justice has in mind Silvio, and the League whose base is uncomfortable with the "favors" on justice to the PDL. The gloss of Bossi not conducive to parliamentary immunity is crucial in this regard. If anything, the reform of justice should have life, being a constitutional reform would need a referendum approved and given the consensus that today Berlusconi is unlikely that the referendum would have a happy ending for him. And it is them 'Fini who will play his paper: forcing the rider to continue and if necessary increase the institutional conflict by obstruction in carrying out work on the short trial already set for March 28. At that point, Napolitano could be forced to dissolve the rooms and send people to the polls. At that point the true consistency of Fli will be seen and you can touch the drop of the Knight consensus. At least paying attention to polls of recent days. And the PD? That being 'things could be seen, in spite of himself, the protagonist. A coalition with IDV and SEL, it would have to win the election. And Berlusconi? Flakes. Will result in the transhumance in reverse: from a PDL Fli. Assumptions are but the first part of the reasoning is more than just a forecast.
October 28, 1922
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